Quote:
Originally posted by DA Morgan:
To those who are not familiar with the term "Bayesian Probability" basically it is the scientific equivalent to "One flew over the cukoo's nest."

Here's the definition from Wikipedia for your delight.

"Bayesianism is the tenet that the mathematical theory of probability is applicable to the degree to which a person believes a proposition."

So if a total moron believes something ... in a Bayesian sense it is 100% probable. Since I believe the Count is full of helium ... therefore he is.
Not if you base it on a physical theory. You can indeed apply Bayesian reasoning to arbitrary beliefs. But if you apply it to update a priori probabilities in a well defined physical setting, there is nothing wrong with that. An example would be the ''number of planets in the galaxy'' I posted abpout earlier.

Of course, you had no arguments about that and had to resport to a childish Straw Man attack about how you could apply Bayesian reasoning in a nonsensical setting. And even there you make mistakes.