Originally posted by JonathanLowe:
Morgan, another unwarrented unproven accusation. I'm over it. Count Ibis, I have never said or proven anything about the rest of the world, only that Australia is not heating up. That is all.
It would be better to say that you have failed to rule out the null model according to which Australia is not heating up. But this can be due to the fact that Australia is indeed not heating up or because of the limited dataset.
Try to use your data to get some significant result either way. If your data shows that some model (be it a null model accoding to which Australia is not heating, or a model that assumes the global temperature thend for Australia of 0.6?C per century) is outside the 95% confidence interval, then you have a significant result that is publishable.
What you want is a strong result about the rate at which temperatures are increasing in Australia. If all you have is that you didn't see a significant result then that can mean many things. If your data set isn't very large it usually means that you cannot rule out either scenario. If you can't do that then you can't claim that Australia is not heating up as fast as the rest of the world.
