Ric ... I never said a Monte Carlo simulation was important or required. What I said was it is the analysis and conclusions that matter ... not just the data points.

That Jonathan was unaware of the "possible" value of this methodology puts into question what method was used and the validity of the conclusions.

Again: I'll trust the laws of physics first. CSIRO, NOAA, and NASA second. Some blogger, no matter how well intended or insightful, in about 90 years when history shows he was correct. The scientific method does not include blogging and personal opinion.

DA Morgan