DA Doesn't this illustrate very well the difficulty of prediction with regard to climate change? The variability which is so much a part of the events makes accuracy of prediction almost impossible. Is it even sensible to forecast from the facts taken over 3 years? Someone explained to me the difference between climate and weather, and this (a 3 year cycle) seems to be an example of the weather. It seems to me to be naive to assume that anything can be determined to be steady or clear over such a short time. Localised events will skew the overall picture, but the longer outlook will determine the results more accurately.

At the moment I think that there seems to be a lot of filtering (and hoping) going on.