except t here is no such thing as a religion of evolutionism. evolution is a science, not a belief.

let me explain something about odds.

lets say you want to win the lottery.

you have say 1 in 15 million chances to win. does that mean you will win. no. it means you have a chance.

now lets say that there are 50 million people playing the lottery. each of them has a 1 in 15 million chance to win. Does that mean they will all lose. no. With that many players, the odds are there will be 3 winners. there may be 1 winner. there may be 50 winners, or there may not be a winner at all. Its called chance.

now lets say that some how you can live long enough to play the game 50 million times. The odds are that you will win 3 times in your life time.

now what does this have to do with genes. simple.

how many of thoese 3.2 billion base pairs do you think could have a benificial mutations. Answer, most of them. What are the odds of the mutation being negative, much higher. If its is a negative that does not mean it is not benifical, but that it is not something that is of use at that time. With someone being born every second, that means that there are 31577600 chance for a mutation to occur every year. Do they happen in the same place? no. lets assume that the chances of any mutation occuring is 1 in a million. (1x 10 to the 9th power). the chances of it happening on any particular pair is then 3.2 x 10 to the 15th power. this means that any particular pair would mutate in about 1 x 10 to the 8 year.

On the other hand, a mutation of any pair would occur 3200 times a year on average. Now what kind of mutations would that be. mosly things like someone getting and extra foot, or extra hand, or having a neuroligical disorder that was not in his or her family. check it out on the web, and youll find these things occuring. Rare, but they happen. In fact mutations arent a 1 in a million thing. it happens a lot more often than that. There are some mutations by themself that occure in 1 in 8 million births. most mutations dont affect anything and disappear. lets say that a man has a mutation that causes his head to have a slightly different shape. If he has 1 child, the changes of him passing that gene to the child is 50/50. with two children, the chances are 75/25. Now lets change it slightly, the shape makes him look weird. now women, avoid him. the chances of him having a child is now about 1 in 10 so the chances of him having two children and passing the gene on is now only 5%.

now what is the odds of a benificial mutation. likely 1 in a thosand mutations. which means that a benificial mutation occurs something like 3 times a year. now if the mutations caused a man to be smarter, but made his head look weird, the chances are that one would not be of good to the human race.


the more man learns, the more he realises, he really does not know anything.