interesting that you include tokyo in that
http://www.earth-policy.org/Indicators/indicator1.htm For at least 25 years, 20 European countries and Japan have had below replacement-level fertility rates (2.1 children per woman).
also
Six countries account for half of the world's annual addition: India (16 million), China (9 million), Pakistan (4 million), Nigeria (4 million), Bangladesh (3 million), and Indonesia (2 million).
china has already begun working on slowing down their growth as has india. Unfortunately the other four have not (or at least ive not heard of it).
here is some good news though
Fertility rates in countries at the intermediate level, where women have between 2.1 and 5 children on average, are expected to drop below replacement level by 2050. This group includes India, Pakistan, South Korea, and Egypt, which were among the first to realize that rapid population growth makes it difficult to reach socioeconomic goals.
I dont mean to sound morbid but, another point your missing is that there was a major world wide population boom after world war two. world wide the baby boomers make up a significant portion of the population. as the baby boomer reach the end of their era, there will be a larger mortality rate. so far as i can tell none of the scaremongers curves take into effect the dying off of the population boom. most of the curves ive seen show a slow to stead death rate and a increasing birth rate.
basically what im pointing out is that scaremongers have a tendacy to tell the people that have no control over things that the people who do are doing anything, despite the evidence that they are. they also dont bother trying to do anything about it in the areas that something might. the united states has a birth rate well below the replacement level, yet if you listen to the scaremongers, youll see that they blame the us for the damage the increase in population is having. none of these seem to bother going to africa to preach about it. not one of them seems to care that the thing that would have the greatest effect on the population is educating the women of these countries. why? because its so much easier to rag the us about how are population boom is destroying the planet, and educating the educated is easier than trying to do something about it where it would do some good.
